empty
18.03.2025 11:36 AM
Positive Data from China and Rising Risk Appetite Support a Bullish Outlook for the Kiwi – NZD/USD Analysis

The New Zealand dollar (NZD) has gained another strong bullish factor as the ANX Commodity Price Index recorded another solid increase in February, rising 3.0% month-on-month (m/m) and 14% year-on-year (y/y). If the trade war bypasses New Zealand, the country's trade balance will remain consistently in surplus, helping to stabilize the domestic economy faster and return to a growth trajectory.

This image is no longer relevant

Market participants interpreted the latest economic data positively, making the Kiwi the best-performing major currency on Monday.

The rally was supported by upbeat economic data from China, where retail sales, industrial production, and fixed asset investment all exceeded forecasts. Another positive factor for NZD is the broad increase in risk appetite, as the potential for de-escalating geopolitical tensions has emerged.

On Wednesday evening, the final Q4 GDP report will be released, with the primary focus on private consumption trends, as this indicator reflects the recovery of consumer demand. If the data meets or exceeds expectations, NZD could receive another bullish signal.

Following the resignation of Adrian Orr as RBNZ Governor, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to take a more cautious, conservative approach, which is also supportive of the Kiwi—a potential rate cut may slow down. Overall, NZD has a chance to take advantage of favorable market conditions and continue its upward momentum.

Speculative positioning remains bearish, but the net short position on NZD slightly decreased by $134 million to -$3.026 billion over the reporting week. Short-term factors continue to support the Kiwi's rally, and the fair value estimate has accelerated upward.

This image is no longer relevant

Technical Outlook for NZD/USD

NZD/USD is attempting to extend its corrective rally, fueled by positive external factors, and has approached key technical resistance at 0.5839. A break above this level is likely, as this scenario appears more probable than another downside retracement.

The next resistance zone and upside target lies at 0.5920/40, but further gains depend on a combination of factors, primarily continued demand for risk assets.

Key support is at 0.5768, and any pullback to this level could be used as a buying opportunity. While the bullish momentum remains intact, it is driven primarily by external factors, meaning the duration of NZD/USD's rally will depend on how long the favorable external environment persists.

Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Gelombang Ketegangan Melanda Pasaran

Donald Trump dengan yakin bercakap tentang kembalinya Amerika ke Zaman Kegemilangan. Dari sudut pandangan beliau, sudah tiba masanya untuk Amerika makmur, bukannya negara lain. Namun begitu, mengapa Presiden AS sering

Marek Petkovich 10:49 2025-04-03 UTC+2

Mengapa Dolar Menurun Jika Isu Tarif Menjejaskan Semua Pihak? (Pembetulan Harga Dijangka bagi GBP/USD dan EUR/USD Selepas Kenaikan Mendadak)

Dolar AS baru-baru ini berjaya kekal di atas paras penting 104.00 pada indeks ICE, memberikan harapan bahawa penurunan lebih lanjut mungkin dapat dielakkan. Tetapi mengapa ia merosot berbanding mata wang

Pati Gani 09:12 2025-04-03 UTC+2

Apakah yang Perlu Diberikan Perhatian pada 3 April? Pecahan Acara Asas kepada Pedagang Baharu

Analisis Laporan Makroekonomi: Pada hari Khamis, beberapa acara makroekonomi dijadualkan, dengan Indeks PMI Perkhidmatan ISM Amerika Syarikat menjadi yang paling signifikan. Namun pada waktu ini, kami berpendapat bahawa menganalisis konteks

Paolo Greco 07:26 2025-04-03 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan Pasangan GBP/USD – 3 April: Pasaran Letih dengan Tarif Trump

Pasangan mata wang GBP/USD terus didagangkan dalam keadaan mendatar sepenuhnya pada 2 April. Apa yang menyebabkan kejatuhan dolar terhenti? Lagipun, Trump mengumumkan tarif baharu atau memberikan petunjuk mengenai tarif yang

Paolo Greco 06:10 2025-04-03 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan Pasangan EUR/USD – 3 April. Tarif Trump: Tidak Semudah Yang Disangkakan

Pasangan mata wang EUR/USD sekali lagi menghabiskan sebahagian besar hari Rabu dalam keadaan hampir tidak bergerak. Malah, pada carta di bawah, jelas kelihatan bahawa volatiliti semasa adalah rendah dan terus

Paolo Greco 06:10 2025-04-03 UTC+2

GBP/USD: Optimisme daripada Menteri Britain dan Risiko Kedudukan Beli

Pasut GBP/USD kekal kukuh menjelang pengumuman tarif yang dijangkakan oleh Trump. Pada hari Selasa, pound mencapai paras terendah mingguan pada 1.2878, hanya untuk berbalik secara mendadak dan kembali kepada 1.29

Irina Manzenko 01:06 2025-04-03 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analisis dan Ramalan

Harga emas meneruskan kenaikan apabila pelabur kekal bimbang terhadap dasar perdagangan agresif Presiden AS Donald Trump dan kesannya terhadap ekonomi global. Selain itu, ketegangan geopolitik yang berterusan turut menjadi pemacu

Irina Yanina 13:22 2025-04-02 UTC+2

AUD/USD: Analisis dan Ramalan

Hari ini, pasangan AUD/USD menunjukkan momentum positif selepas melonjak semula daripada paras terendah hampir empat minggu. Sokongan datang daripada pendirian Bank Rizab Australia (RBA) yang kurang lembut, apabila bank pusat

Irina Yanina 12:25 2025-04-02 UTC+2

Pasaran Mungkin Bertindak Balas terhadap Tarif Baharu Amerika Syarikat dengan Pertumbuhan—Tetapi dengan Satu Syarat... (Penurunan GBP/USD dan Kenaikan USD/CAD Berkemungkinan)

Hari yang Donald Trump isytihar sebagai "Hari Pembebasan" telah tiba. Pasaran sedang bersiap sedia untuk Amerika Syarikat memperkenalkan tarif yang menyeluruh dan berskala besar terhadap rakan dagangannya serta langkah balas

Pati Gani 09:51 2025-04-02 UTC+2

Pasaran Memerlukan Bukti

Khabar angin sedang berlegar dalam pasaran bahawa Rumah Putih mungkin melaksanakan cukai sejagat sebanyak 20% dan bukannya tarif timbal balik—langkah yang akan mendorong purata duti import ke tahap tertinggi sejak

Marek Petkovich 09:16 2025-04-02 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.