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23.04.2025 06:16 PM
英鎊/日圓:分析與預測
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英鎊/日圓貨幣對正在從190.00的心理關口,或今天較早時達到的兩周高點回撤。在英國PMI數據令人失望後,賣壓加劇,將現貨價格拉低至約188.25的新日低點。

英國的PMI數據不及預期,對英鎊帶來壓力,而美元的適度上漲進一步增加了不利因素。與此同時,由於市場預期日本央行將加息,日圓獲得支撐,這一東亞貨幣持續走強。此外,圍繞日本和美國潛在貿易協定的樂觀情緒,也在助推英鎊/日圓的盤中下跌。

市場對英格蘭銀行降息的預期進一步增加了英鎊的看跌前景,這表明英鎊/日圓可能進一步下跌。然而,美中貿易關係的改善可能有助於限制損失,並為該貨幣對提供一些支撐。

從技術角度來看,該貨幣對仍處於熟悉的範圍內,表明正在持續盤整。日圖振盪指標仍在負值區域內,且多次未能維持在190.00的心理關口上方的升勢,加強了看跌前景。

跌破188.00將在187.50–187.45區域找到初步支撐。決定性地跌破該區域將確認看跌偏向,使英鎊/日圓承受進一步走弱至187.00水平的風險,隨後測試186.55。如果持續的下行壓力,最終可能將該貨幣對推向關鍵的心理水平186.00,進一步加深損失。

另一方面,若突破189.00,可能引發再次測試190.00的嘗試,中間阻力位於189.45–189.50區域。若持續突破190.00的門檻,將轉變為更為樂觀的情緒,可能引發空頭回補,並推動該貨幣對接近191.00的下個心理目標50日簡單移動平均線(SMA)。

然而,除非相對強弱指數(RSI)果斷突破50水平,否則該貨幣對可能難以實現看漲情境。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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