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04.02.2025 07:46 AM
#NDX – 技術分析概覽
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去年年底,該指數達到22,141點的歷史新高。隨著這一高峰的出現,上漲勢頭停滯不前,導致了市場的修正和整固階段。目前,關鍵焦點在於每週短期趨勢水平的21,309點。即使在昨天,儘管出現了顯著的向下跳空缺口,價格仍然能夠反彈回21,309區域。在當前條件下,我們可以找出潛在市場走向的最近參考點。如果看漲的活動繼續下去,突破22,141歷史新高可能為進一步的收益鋪平道路,目標為22,500和23,000這些心理水平。另一方面,如果整固階段在看跌勢頭中結束,主要目標將涉及突破Ichimoku每週交叉點並修正性下降至月短期趨勢水平的19,688點。

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連續兩週以來,市場開盤呈現顯著的下跌缺口,隨後迅速嘗試回補該缺口。這明顯顯示出一場角力:一方試圖壓低指數,另一方則努力保持目前的水準。當前,多頭有一條通往歷史高點22,141的明確路徑。日線一目均衡表支持這一情況,呈現出日線黃金交叉及日線雲層,同時還有來自週線短期趨勢21,309的額外支撐。如果市場跌破日線雲層21,014,將觸發看跌目標,進一步下跌可能會達到月線短期趨勢19,688。在這一路徑上,週線水準20,707、20,264及19,822可能提供額外支撐。

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在較低的時間框架中,多頭已經成功將價格推回到每週長期趨勢的區域,該趨勢目前位於21,364。這一趨勢的斜度和位置加劇了市場的不確定性。我們可能會持續看到盤整;然而,如果日內出現試圖形成方向性走勢的情況,傳統的Pivot水平將成為關鍵的參考點。對於空頭來說,突破21,014、20,620和20,410的支撐水平至關重要。與此同時,多頭的目標則是21,618、21,828和22,222的阻力水平。

***

技術分析組成要素:
  • 較高時間框架:Ichimoku Kinko Hyo(9.26.52)和Fibonacci Kijun 水平
  • H1:經典Pivot點和120周期移動平均線(每週長期趨勢)

Evangelos Poulakis,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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